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    Reimagining Indian Cities: Pathways to Climate-Resilient and Low-Carbon Futures

    With India’s urban population projected to reach nearly 1 billion by 2050–2070, cities face rising risks from climate change, extreme heat, flooding, infrastructure stress, and emissions. Building resilient, inclusive, and low-carbon cities will require massive investment, governance reforms, green infrastructure, and climate-adaptive planning.

    Reimagining Indian Cities: Pathways to Climate-Resilient and Low-Carbon Futures

    Introduction

    India’s urban population is set to nearly double by 2050 and may approach 1 billion by 2070. This rapid urbanisation offers a demographic dividend but also exposes cities to climate risks such as heatwaves, floods, water scarcity, and pollution. Reimagining urban planning is essential for building climate-resilient and low-carbon cities.

    Context & Background

    Indian cities will need 144 million new homes, resilient infrastructure, and sustainable transport by 2070. Urban infrastructure investment must more than double its share of GDP. Climate-resilient design will require 9%–27% additional investment while delivering long-term economic and social gains.

    Key Points

    • Urbanisation Scale: Population projected to rise from ~480 million (2020) to 1.1 billion (2070). Urban expansion will shape India’s economic and climate trajectory.
    • Infrastructure Demand: Housing needs to double; massive upgrades needed in transport, water, sewage, SWM, and drainage.
    • Climate Exposure: Cities face intensifying heatwaves, floods, cyclones, and water scarcity; informal settlements highly vulnerable.
    • Urban Heat Island Effect: Cities warmer by 3–4°C due to concrete surfaces, low green cover, traffic & industrial heat.
    • Flooding Threat: Poor drainage, paved wetlands, and encroached floodplains increase pluvial flooding risk.
    • Water Stress: Day-Zero events likely to become frequent; climate variability deepens scarcity.
    • GHG Emissions: Buildings, energy, and transport drive emissions; landfill methane and material-intensive construction add burden.
    • Governance Gaps: 50%+ towns lack master plans; weak municipal finance and fragmented institutional authority.
    • Finance Challenge: $10.9 trillion required by 2070; need green bonds, PPPs, climate funds, carbon markets.
    • Global Benchmarks: Cities like Yokohama, Shizuoka, and Beira demonstrate integrated flood management, smart-tech use, and nature-based solutions.

    Related Entities

    Impact & Significance

    • Economic: Climate risks could cause $30B annual losses by 2070; resilient infrastructure reduces long-term costs.
    • Social: Heat stress, displacement, slum vulnerability, health risks; resilience improves equity and quality of life.
    • Environmental: Flooding, heat islands, biodiversity loss, and waste-induced methane emissions.
    • Urban Productivity: Heat and water stress reduce labour productivity; resilient design boosts competitiveness.

    Challenges & Criticism

    • Funding Gaps: Municipalities rely heavily on central/state transfers; low property tax recovery.
    • Institutional Fragmentation: Multiple overlapping agencies weaken execution.
    • Planning Deficit: Over 50% cities lack effective master plans; weak data systems hinder risk planning.
    • Technological & Capacity Gaps: Lack of climate-modelling capability, limited trained staff.
    • Land-use Stress: Encroached wetlands, reduced green cover, unplanned fringe growth.
    • Private Sector Hesitation: Limited participation due to policy and regulatory uncertainty.

    Future Outlook

    • Indian cities will move toward green mobility, energy-efficient buildings, and decentralised services.
    • Integration of nature-based solutions and blue-green infrastructure in planning frameworks.
    • Expansion of early-warning systems and heat action plans.
    • Rise of green finance: bonds, carbon markets, climate-budget tagging.
    • Smart-city 2.0: Climate-smart data systems, GIS planning, IoT-based flood and heat monitoring.

    UPSC Relevance

    UPSC
    • GS1: Urbanisation, Geography of Settlements
    • GS3: Environment, Climate change, Infrastructure, Disaster resilience
    • Essay: Sustainable cities, climate justice, urban future of India
    • Optional (Geography/PSIR/Sociology): Urban planning, environmental governance, demographic transition

    Sample Questions

    Prelims

    Consider the following regarding climate-resilient urban development in India:

    1. Compact city planning reduces emissions and enhances climate resilience.

    2. Nature-based solutions help reduce flood risks and heat island effects.

    3. Municipalities in India currently meet most of their infrastructure financing needs through local tax revenue.

    Answer: Option 1, Option 2

    Explanation: Statements 1 and 2 are correct. Statement 3 is incorrect — Indian cities rely heavily on state/central transfers; own-source revenue remains weak.

    Mains

    Urbanisation in India presents both a climate challenge and an opportunity. Discuss pathways to build climate-resilient and low-carbon cities.

    Introduction: undefined

    Body:

    Challenges: Heatwaves, floods, informality, infrastructure deficits, GHG emissions, governance gaps, low municipal finance capacity.

    Solutions: TOD, compact cities, blue-green infrastructure, climate-finance tools, early-warning systems, green buildings, cool roofs, SWM reforms, e-mobility, skilled municipal workforce.

    Equity Focus: Slum upgradation, inclusive planning, social protection, climate-risk insurance for vulnerable groups.

    Conclusion: Climate-resilient cities are fundamental to India’s economic and social future. Integrating sustainability with urban growth will ensure safe, livable, and competitive cities for a billion urban Indians.